Sunday, December 20, 2009
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Market Correction Finally?
Singapore Entrepreneur - Aspiring Entrepreneur's Forum
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Is the World Economy Recovering?
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast the global economic growth at 3.1% for the year 2010, compared to a dismal -1.1% in the year 2009.
Sunday, October 18, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - What's My Strategy
Today, we are seeing a relentless rally of of regional markets, including Singapore's. It seems the long anticipated correction is not ready to show itself anytime soon. Anyway, I have again tweaked my investment strategy since those counters I have been investing for the past year have been constantly on the uptrend which saw very small swings in recent months. I now stay on the sidelines and await a dip in the counter and grab them at current low price. I then hold them longer, between one and three months. With the current momentum, I believe the STI will continue to grow albeit a correction may be round the corner.
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Some Corporate Tips
Friday, August 14, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Venturing Out on Your Own Business
Capitalize on Your Strength
When you wish to embark a your own business, it is best to capitalize on your own strength and experience. Try not to explore into uncharted territories without any prior studies as the price to pay is usually very high. You will find yourself in best form when you do the things you are familiar and like. If you don't think if you are a qualify to be a gastronomist, you'd better not be in food business just because you think the money is lucrative.
Be Focused, Be Professional
Companies are usually identified by their respective products or services. When you think of Honda, you think of cars. When you think of HP, you think of computers and IT services. Start your business focused in a certain area so that your customers can identify your company to the services or products they want. Don't be too diversified in your services just because you want more revenue. It not only makes you lose your focus but also customers would not have assurance that you are putting enough attention in the particular field.
When you are focused in your area, you would inevitably become an expert in that area. That is called professionalism. For example, if you set up a business that focuses in repairing computers, you would be the best person for the job and no one can proclaim he is better than you. As such, customers would have faith in you and would respect your expertise in the field.
Look at the Demand Perspective, not just the Supply Perspective
I feel many people who yearn to start their own business tend to make a common mistake in analyzing the risks. For example, a friend of mine wanted to bring in some children's boutique from China and set up shop here. He has no prior experience in this line. He claims to know the direct manufacturer of these clothes and their exclusive customer is in Japan. The supplier has offered to provide at factory price and wants him to open a Singapore market. Clothes designs in Japan usually appeal to Asian market and it seems like a good deal. He decided to fly over to Shanghai to talk further with the supplier. Now, looking at this aspect, there are still many things to study and plan before you should decide to proceed further. The most common negligence people make is they tend to indulge in the supply perspective and never thinks of the demand perspective. In today's real world, it is always easy to buy things but the most difficult to sell things. Try googling for any item you think of buying. Chances is that you will usually find the things you want from many websites. The world is so connected that information is so easily available. If you can find a good price with this manufacturer, why can't another person find this supplier and bring in the same types of clothes to compete with you? Once there was an attendee asking me in a motivation class which I was conducting. She devised some recipe on cooking beef patties which tasted uniquely good. Her friends all agreed with her. She was sure it tasted better than MacDonald's and vowed her business will outbid any MacDonald's outlet. I can't agree more that any burger would taste better than MacDonald's. But I cannot agree that taste alone can outbid a competitor. MacDonald's spends millions of dollars in advertising campaigns in upkeeping its brand name. Branding is a very powerful tool in the business world and people are very much connected with brands. Unless she has a similar budget to that, she should just focus on a different target audience who may appreciate the taste of her burgers.
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Get Started in Investing Today
Sunday, July 5, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - The Power of Compounding Interest
The scary reality about inflation which many people tend to neglect is that it is compounding. Your wealth is eroded by 4% every year and that is compounding at an exponential rate. There is a simple rule called Rule of 72 which could help you estimate how much long today's 1 Million Dollars is eroded by inflation to half its value. If you take "72" divide by the rate of annual return, it would give you the number of years it takes a value to become double or half. Take for example: "72/4%" = 18 years. This means it will take 18 years for $1M to be eroded to $500,000 (in today's value)in 18 years if the inflation rate is 4% per annum.
On the other hand, Rule of 72 helps you to estimate the number of years it takes to double your wealth based on your achievable annual return rate. Take for example, if you manage to find an annual return rate of 10%, it would take 72/10% = 7.2 years to double your investment. The power of compunding interest is that every dollar you earned from interest is re-invested into the capital. This simple technique gives a powerful exponential growth to your investment.
Wednesday, July 1, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Financial Freedom
What is to be financial free? Financial free is a lifestyle you have created such that your passive income is enough to cover your daily expenses and lifestyle. Passive income is an income that you do not have to actively work for it, like a job. To be financial free does not necessarily mean you have to be very rich. It is with respect to how much you have to spend to support your lifestyle. If you live a simple life in prairie house and live on some vegetables and chickens you plant and rear, you don't need any money to spend and you don't need income. Hence you are financially free. On the other hand, if you have a family to feed or a lifestlye to enjoy, you would then need a stable income to support your expenses. If this income is passively earned and is able to support your lifestyle, it means you are financially free. You are out of the rate race.
Examples of passive income are dividends payout from investments in equities, or owning a business which constantly brings in healthy profits.
Friday, June 26, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Blowing Up Another New Bubble?
In 1999, the world was faced with an eminent danger of a huge collapse from what was known as the Y2K bug or Millennium bug. To combat this bug within a short timeline, then Fed chairman Alan Greenspan released huge credit line to allow corporates to tackle the problem. When the world ticked its way past 12 midnight into Year 2000, nothing of the worst anticipated happened. The world then turned its attention to the excess pool of liquid cash amongst banks and investors. This coincided with the internet craze in that era, which brought about a dotcom boom. The world started blowing a huge bubble which finally burst in 2001. Gullible investors were blindly led to invest into any internet startups which had even out-of-the-world ideas.
US went into recession after the dotcom bust in 2001. Then the 911 incident caused a double whammy to the world economy. Amid the recession, Alan Greenspan introduced stimulating measures like cutting the credit interest rates on several occasions to near zero percent. When the US economy past its bottom in year 2002, investors started to get restless again. At about 1% rate from banks, it bored most investors who were looking at much better returns. The US economy enjoyed its boom from 2003 to 2007. So much money was earned during this period that many types investment products were born, including investing into US housing market. The US started blowing a new bubble when investors started investing into toxic sub-prime products. Banks around the world was enticed into this lucrative market which eventually blew and brought about one of the history's worst financial crises today.
The uncanny resemblance of creating these 2 giant bubbles makes me wonder if the current recession in the US is nuturing another new possible bubble of the future. Although recent news are reporting data that shows evidence of "green shoots", many spendings around the world are still artificially created with government stimulus packages or government printing more money to buy up bonds, like what the Bank of England is doing.
The several events described look like a chicken-and-egg situation. If governments or authorities do not do anything, we are destined to stay for a long and dreadful downturn. Even if we jolly well know it is a new bubble being blown, we are going to pack off the idea that it will not blow up until at least a few years away. It is still better than being stuck in the mud, isn't it?
Perhaps, we have to just accept this is how the world economy works; a new bubble is being blown each time the economy goes bust. You could well say that the world is like a reality TV show actor, and the producer is the rich economies, who creates the storyline to stimulate viewership. Everything is artificial.
Nonetheless, who cares. As long as you earn real money, that is real. But the artificial economy poses many traps. Keep your guard each time when your asset grows. Bursting bubbles are usually easy to spot. The problem is people are always blinded by greed and they never seem to learn their lessons, as seen from previous events.
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - The Spirit of Innovation
Sunday, June 21, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - What's My Strategy?
Before the crisis, I had been practising value investment, the sort of strategy that Warren Buffett, the greatest investor, has been practising in his life time. I used to look for undervalued counters by doing financial analyses of the companies. Usually they were small caps. During the 4 years of rally from 2004 through 2007, the values of the counters I bought trebled or quadrupled which brought me a lot of paper gain. However, being a "value" investor, I decided to hold them for a long term. But the stock market crashed dragged all my counters beyond the cliff and their values plummeted like free fall. To add salt to the injury, many of the counters I held were S-shares which have been in the bad light from a series of accounting scandals.
The bad experience triggered me to tweak the strategy of my investment. Instead of brooding over the huge loss of investment from an unprecedented turn of the market, I thought to myself: If the market crash can cause many riches to rags, it is also an opportunity to turn rags to riches.
When the market bottomed out in Oct 2008, it provided a golden opportunity for me to do some financial analysis of various counters. I turned to blue chips and large cap stocks during then, since I got burnt by penny stocks previously. Many of them were offered at unbelievable bargain prices, some under their net asset prices. I started grabbing some counters. This time, I only focused on a couple of blue chip stocks. But because nobody had any idea where the bottom was, I was also afraid. Hence, I held lightly to the stocks. Each time the counters rose slightly, I sold them off for a small profit. The market turmoil created wild see-saw movement which allowed me to buy low and sell at profit each time for several months.
This strategy should only be applied if you have hard cash to standby in case you get stuck should the market turn really sour for a second time. My "long term" strategy is still in place because at each price I buy, I know it is still under-value compared with during good times. And I have to believe that market will eventually recover one day. On the other hand, since the market has been very sentimental, any gains will easily erode on any negative news in a market doldrums. So, I combine with some technical analysis of the counters and sell them off when there is some profit.
Each investor has his own style of investment. By my descriptions, I do not recommend any contra trading and my advice is to trade within your means. Institutional investors, hedge funds and other mutual funds dictate 90% of the share market and small retail investors like us cannot possibly outwit these people as they employ tons of brilliant brains to analyse stocks. So whatever strategy you adopt, do your sums carefully.
Wednesday, June 17, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Start of Correction?
Monday, June 1, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - Is The Worst Over?
When the credit crisis unfolded in October 2008, Lehman Brothers, one of America's biggest lenders, was the first victim. Its collapse alone rippled through many big banks around the world which amassed losses more than US$1.6 Trillion. Following that, we saw big names like AIG, Merill Lynch and UBS at the brinks of collapse and needed desperate government fundings. Stocks around the globe saw their biggest plunge in 6 years. Even non-banking bigwigs like General Motors, Ford and Chrysler all went into deep financial difficulties. Iceland was the first country to declare bankrupt and had to be bailed out by IMF. Following all this mayhem, all sectors were affected with most 2008 annual reports revealing either losses or sharp drop in profit.
We have seen the worst unfolding before us. Whatever should happen has already happened. General Motors has just officially declared bankrupt after failed attempts in appealing for cash injection into the company. It beats me how many more job losses will follow after this. However, the market seems to shrug off these news and continue its rally. Even the H1N1 scare is not putting investors off. So effectively, we have come to a ground zero and whatever is going to happen, it won't be worse than what has happened. There may be more meaning to the term "Financial Tsunami". Tsunami are big waves that sweep everything on shore to destruction. The incident is momentary but the aftermath is catastrophic. It takes painful years to rebuild houses, for people to go back to their normal lives and overcome the grief over the loss of their love ones. You can liken this analogy to the financial tsunami. The collapse of the financial system in the US caused a tsunami to the global economy which all happened in one go. So you can actually take comfort that the worst is actually over and now we are on a long road to recover and we do not expect any more bad news.
On the other different camp of thought, you may want to consider that Obama's US$787B stimulus package is actually taking an effect to cushion the crisis. Governments around the world, including Singapore's have their own stimulus plans. So, in fact, whatever we are seeing today are just artificial. When people feel that things are not appearing as bad as they seem, they start coming back. The recent stock market rally may be a good indication that people are having a false sense of hope and are picking up bargain counters. Pessimists are saying this is a clear bear rally which has no ground to sustain. There are no good news in the US to report that could suggest the rally. It is just that news are not as bad as expected.
So how do you explain for private home sales being snapped up like in the heydays we saw in 2007? If you look at Asia during this crisis, it actually withstood much better compared to the Asian Financial crisis back in 1997. The banking system was beefed up ever since. It is also said that many people actually earned a lot of money during the heydays from 2004 to 2007. This gives them very much buffer to cushion themselves from the current crisis. Such people are out there today hunting for bargains like houses and cars. Private home prices saw their plunge up to 30% from its peak less than 2 years ago. The deferred payment scheme may have caused this aftermath effect. HDB home prices are closing in on mass market private condominiums which see many HDB folks grabbing the chance to upgrade. As a result, we see a spike in demand on mass market homes. But most are one-time buyers as they cannot afford more houses like other investors. So the demand may be unlikely to sustain. Once this batch of buyers are settled with their new homes, there will be left with no one out there to buy anymore.
In whichever camp of thought you are in, it is always wise to consider carefully before you jump onto the bandwagon. You may miss the boat if the market continues to rally, but at least you do not fall into a trap if all turn out to be a false rally. I have learnt my lessons. I'd rather watch from the sidelines if I have missed the boat. With money on hand, I still feel safer. There is always another time to invest again. However, if you are currently sitting on some gain from the recent rally, you must know when to exit. Warren Buffett had this saying: "You should be scared when everyone else is greedy. And you should be greedy when everyone is scared".
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Singapore Entrepreneur - SWOT Analysis
SWOT, which stands for Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats, helps us to audit the overall strength of a business in an industry.
Strength
You must identify the strengths of your company which can stand out above the rest. What makes you or your company different from other competitors and why customers would want to buy from you. For startups, one of the key strengths they can stand against well established competitors is to provide more customized services and exercise flexibility towards customers. After recognising the various strengths, you must fully capitalize on them.
Weaknesses
You must identify the weaknesses of your company which may be lose its competitive edge against others. Examples of weaknesses of new startups are the lack of products and quality control or the lack of customer references. No matter how small they are, steps must be taken to improve on the weaknesses and eventually turn them into strengths.
Opportunities
This usually refers more towards external influences. For example, change in lifestyle of people may create a new demand for certain products or services. Some businesses like retail are location influenced and people can pay high premiums on rental to create great business opportunities for themselves.
Threats
Threats are external factors which may cause negative impact on the business. Examples are like change of government rules or policies, competitors launching a new product, or behavioural change in consumer.
Monday, May 11, 2009
Analysis of Michael E.Porter's 5 Forces Model
Courtesy of Wikipedia
Michael E. Porter, the world's renowned financial guru from Harvard Business School, has devised The 5 Forces Model, as shown in the above figure. It describes the external effects on a business. This model can always be used anytime to gauge the strength of a business from external factors. Even before you start venturing into a new business, this model is useful in helping you to assess the risks and also other competitors in the industry.
Let's take my new childcare venture as an example and view its viability.
Force 1: The Bargaining Power of Customer
This defines the buying power of the customer. If my company is a small setup without a brand establishment, there is no pull factor for parents to send their kids to my centre. I have no bargaining power and parents/customers may demand to lower my fees or demand for certain things to suit their needs. As a result, I may succumb to their demands in order to keep them as customers. This may become a vicious cycle.
Force 2: The Bargaining Power of Supplier
But if I am part of an established brand like a franchisee, whose name has been established over the years and has the critical mass, is able to command certain premium in fees. Parents/customers have less power in influencing how fees are set or programmes are run. Because of its pull factor, parents may flock to sign up for their kids and waiting list may grow. In such cases, parents may even be nonchalant about fees hike.
Force 3: Competitive Rivalry within the Industry
In a saturated market, usually the customer is spoilt for choice with so many suppliers. Thus, your business may be forced to selling at low prices into order to sustain its market share. On the other hand, if your services are hard to find in the industry, it is most likely you have an upper hand in commanding prices.
Force 4: New Entrants
Lucrative markets may invite more new players to come in and compete. If the industry has high barrier of entry, it may discourage most new entrants. For example, in childcare business, there are many strict rules and regulations by various government agencies to safeguard kids' welfare. There is a long and costly process in getting these approved. This may deter many people without experience from entering the market. In a way, the market has rather a high barrier of entry.
Force 5: Threat of Substitute Products
Some parents have their kids' grandparents or maids to look after them. They may also send them to kindergarten's playschool. These are substitutes of putting children in a childcare.
Sunday, May 10, 2009
Starting a New Business
The business I have started is a childcare business. It may not sound very exciting to some skeptics. The start-up cost is high and the return-on-investment may not be attractive. Nonetheless, I view this business as a stable one in the long term. The government is encouraging its people to send their kids to pre-school education and MCYS has strict guidelines which make the entry barrier rather high. But above the rest, it is the passion put into the right place that will naturally bring the money in later.
Saturday, April 4, 2009
Packaging is Paramount
Korean car manufacturer, Hyundai, can't make engines as good as the Japanese, but are able to keep their car sales on par with Japanese because they can continue to keep their car outlook so appealing that give their Japanese competitors a run for their money. HTC phone is considered a late comer in mobile phone market but it is making a big impact because its appealing look and feel, nevermind if it is really as good as the iPhone. The essence in making a product is not about making it so perfect. It is about making it desirable to the user. When profits start rolling in, it is when you take this money to invest in further development for the version 2, 3 onwards.
Coming back on the point about my experience and know-how that put me on the edge. As Singaporeans, we are considered the most westernized Asia. The cosmopolitan environment of Singapore gives us the exposure to the world. Also, as a first world country, our level of expertise is on par with the western world. It is not that we have to idolize the Americans or Europeans or try to be like them. As a small country like ours, we have to keep ourselves abreast with things. The only resource we have is our brains. We do not have deep oil wells like the Arabs have that can last them another 150 years. We have to capitalize on our strengths and continue to provide the services the world needs. The last thing we want to be, is to be complacent about ourselves.
MM Lee once said something which has set in my mind deeply. He said the world will continue to exist and operate even without the existence of Singapore. But the world will change if America or China ceases to exist. I would liken Singapore as a small puddle of water alongside a wide flowing river. If we do not do anything to this puddle of water, it will be stagnated and eventually be dried up by the sun. We have to deliberately create an inlet and outlet to divert some water in and flow out. Then the puddle water will not dry up and will always be kept alive by the flowing river.
Being Bilingual is Beautiful
I felt fortunate that the education I was given in Singapore has geared me to posses such soft skills so important when conducting business at international level. In those days when I was a student, Mandarin was never held a high regard socially and when you spoke it with your friends, you were deemed as 2nd class. I even despised myself for knowing how to speak in the language. Today, I just regret that I didn't put enough effort in improving my Mandarin. I was brought up in an English speaking family and couldn't speak a word of Chinese when I started school. My parents couldn't speak well in the language either. I was like deemed to be the more "angmoh" type. I struggled with my Chinese subject all my years in school and had never done well in the subject.
Our MM Lee, recently reiterate the importance of nurturing Mandarin to our young today. He has relentless, all his life, stressed the importance of learning Mandarin. Today, as being a third generation of Chinese immigrants in Singapore, I am grateful to him for his long running initiative which still very much alive today. The only gripe I have though, is the ban in Cantonese language over TV in Singapore since the 70s, that has caused me the inability to speak Cantonese in Hong Kong. For that, I lose the edge to my Malaysian counterpart who possess the Cantonese speaking knack, picking up from the countless Hong Kong dramas they usually watch. One point that I don't quite agree with MM Lee is that dialect will interfere with learning Mandarin. Children has the ability to pick up several languages simultaneously.
Nonetheless, looking at the economic outlook for the next few decades, China is continuing to its quest as a big economy powerhouse. It has become the 3rd largest economy in the world today. Being a Singaporean, we are just a little sailboat which needs to sail with the wind. Possessing the skill of the 2 most important languages, it's like having a powerful engine and a powerful sail in the boat. In order to differentiate ourselves from Mainland Chinese, is to possess the ability to bridge between the East and West. In the very cosmopolitan nature that Singapore has, it is our very edge against the typical mainland Chinese. It takes a generation to learn a language. To those non-Chinese speaking Singaporeans, my advice is to go forward to pick up that language. You will learn to appreciate.
Related links:
1. Speech by MM Lee Kuan Yew
2. Yahoo News
Thursday, March 19, 2009
What's that so called Sub-Prime Crisis?
It looks like we can never get away with the saying: "When Uncle US sneezes, the world catches a cold".
Nonetheless, here is a good video clip which has made a complex story very simple to understand:
The Crisis of Credit Visualized from Jonathan Jarvis on Vimeo.
We are Hiring! (2)
Saturday, March 14, 2009
You Justify Your Own Existence
Thinking of this analogy really makes me feel the same way about typical Singaporeans, even as a Singaporean. Some Singaporeans who are in their job, gripe about their jobs, about the unfair benefits their employers provide and about the environment they are in. They do their jobs well and think the rest will take care of itself. I do not envy employees anymore as I feel each person justifies his own existence.
A company evolves from its own nature and the market they are in. It justifies its own existence and positon in the market. If it doesn't justify itself, it would be closed down after all.
When you work for a company, you justify your own existence. You should treat your job as a monthly business transaction with the company. Your salary and benefits are returns of your service to the company. The company is not a charitable organisation and does not owe you a living. If you don't like your job and do not contribute, sales or productivity will drop. You will lose your job eventually. It is an organic cycle.
Thursday, March 12, 2009
We are Hiring!
Saturday, March 7, 2009
What I Look for in a Job Applicant
Just imagine, each time we post for a position in the job portal or papers, we get tons and tons of email applications. I would classify these applicants into 3 broad categories: The Just-try-their-market-value-only, the Sincere ones and the quite Hard-up ones.
The Just-try-their-market-value-only applicant
These category of applicants are the most insincere ones who just want to see if there is any opportunity to change from their current jobs. They can be spotted by submitting their CVs which may not be relevant to the position advertised. Their CVs are always all ready to be sent out. Sometimes, their cover letter may even spot their intention with the wrong position in the title. It simply shows they have been conveniently submitting CVs to many companies. This category of applicants appear mostly in good times, when everyone is looking for career advancement.
The Sincere applicant
This category is of course the ones that employers seek. It is not easy to pick such CVs out. But putting effort in writing a good cover letter and concise CVs do help to play a part in catching the employer's attention.
Usually fresh graduates fall into this category as they have no working experience and are genuinely looking to start their career.
The Hard-up one
This category comprises those who are out of job or whose current job is in jeopardy. They are usually in the mid-career age and are married with children. Foreigners with work permit passes easily fall into this category because their permit expires within one month upon quitting their current job. These applicants come in hordes during bad times.
Tips to Landing an Interview:
1. Include your photo. Many people neglect this. Your photo is the first impression that the employer will get. A picture paints a thousand words.
2. Write a good and sincere cover letter. Write briefly about yourself and how you may be sutiable for the position.
3. Organise your CV layout well. Lay out your work experience in point form for easier reading. For each company you have worked for, you may want to classify the different projects that you have involved. Do not be too wordy because the employer has many other CVs to read.
4. To show your sincerity, you may want to be kaisu. Besides sending your application online, you may like to send a physical copy via snail mail. Remember, you are competing with hundreds of applicants out there. By sending another hard copy may give yourself more chance. It leaves greater impression of you if the employer has seen your email application and also received hard copy later. It also helps to create the impression of sincerity of the applicant.
5. Make a phone call to the company if you do not hear from them about 1 week after the closing date. Although it may sound bashful, it creates an impression to the employer. He may try recalling your application if you make the call. But don't overdo it. You may sound more like desperate than sincere.
For Those Fresh Graduates Looking for Jobs (2)
Growing up from bad times have trained me not to take things for granted. It is always good to start from ground zero so that your fundamentals are well founded. When the times turn for the better, you will be the first to benefit. To the fresh graduates who are seeking jobs today; don't be discouraged. When there's a will, there's a way. Be humble and work your way hard to land a job. It's not a time to be fussy anymore.